Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 106.225375 117.740649 129.589498 142.665708 156.664508 171.175001 187.325879
2025-03-16 86.819172 103.784647 122.157389 143.413054 167.205507 192.899337 222.624431
2025-03-23 74.903652 95.958795 119.831246 148.601675 182.030666 219.353242 263.870121
2025-03-30 64.561535 88.337387 116.473786 151.658333 193.901552 242.427185 301.802844
2025-04-06 55.092959 80.399874 111.606050 151.996521 201.955252 260.813660 334.451180
2025-04-13 47.605221 73.903309 107.613490 152.643283 209.843240 278.743306 366.610744
2025-04-20 42.996477 70.538581 107.066304 157.196189 222.312745 302.195056 405.665540
2025-04-27 38.684929 67.007493 105.829195 160.487018 232.973097 323.394710 442.174580
2025-05-04 35.453525 64.592671 105.758483 165.061108 245.158646 346.538239 481.332993
2025-05-11 32.196781 61.736383 104.744014 168.104211 255.201216 366.973300 517.286177
2025-05-18 26.790576 54.904693 97.445090 161.898784 252.436169 370.585985 531.659337
2025-05-25 23.035463 50.241748 92.891376 159.155218 254.024656 379.641357 552.913498
2025-06-01 20.347938 47.113581 90.496289 159.479974 259.964806 394.762576 582.643948
2025-06-08 18.255598 44.774474 89.137283 161.213048 267.873071 412.650244 616.331470
2025-06-15 17.245879 44.298437 90.698574 167.353784 282.172244 439.424056 662.216529
2025-06-22 15.856049 42.916825 90.643299 170.948856 292.826123 461.360642 701.940962
2025-06-29 14.087823 40.538336 88.708936 171.457931 298.897220 477.007849 733.364654
2025-07-06 12.560219 38.426355 87.041155 172.237284 305.287060 493.112583 765.547797
2025-07-13 11.797211 37.850290 88.009726 177.241137 318.043061 518.286039 810.380007
2025-07-20 10.910601 36.868612 88.154269 180.848816 328.710769 540.616845 851.539228
2025-07-27 10.278954 36.383728 89.148980 185.842726 341.531572 566.126547 897.313922
2025-08-03 9.498195 35.423988 89.170805 189.161957 351.799327 588.086507 938.383590
2025-08-10 7.717357 31.624307 83.447133 182.407225 346.172311 586.964415 947.160794